Real Player Ratings for the 2011 West Semifinal Game Seven: Oklahoma Thunder 105 Memphis Grizzlies 90
2011 SEMIFINAL OKLAHOMA THUNDER VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES GAME SEVEN REAL PLAYER RATINGS
MAY 15 2011
OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMA THUNDER 105 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 90
OKLAHOMA WINS BEST OF SEVEN SERIES 4-3
KEY PLAYERS WHO DID NOT PLAY
--These are the above average players who would have or should have played but did not.
--The reason is shown after the player if and only if it is known with at least 85% certainty.
--Usually the reason is known with almost 100% certainty.
--If the reason is not known with at least 85% certainty, the reason "unknown" is given.
--Injuries are NOT perfectly reported and information about them is archived nowhere on the Internet. Therefore, it is possible that when Quest for the Ring identifies "coaching error" or "unknown" as the reason, the real reason may have been an injury.
--If the reason "traded" is shown then in many cases a player who was obtained in that trade played instead.
GRIZZLIES Rudy Gay >>> injured
THUNDER All above average players played in this game.
REAL PLAYER RATINGS FOR THIS GAME
--Real Player Rating shows you the real basketball quality of players quickly and accurately.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--Each player's hidden defending rating from the regular season is used as the Hidden Defending Adjustment (HDA). Obviously, players in any individual game including this one were not exactly as good defenders as they were on the average during the regular season. But since there is no way to provide HDA for individual games and since it is better to have some reasonable HDA than none at all, we use the season HDA as a reasonable substitute.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Kevin Durant, SF 1.494 THUNDER
James Harden, G 1.276 THUNDER
Nick Collison, PF 1.268 THUNDER
Russell Westbrook, PG 1.234 THUNDER
Zach Randolph, PF 0.884 GRIZZLIES
Tony Allen, SG 0.860 GRIZZLIES
Nazr Mohammed, C 0.837 THUNDER
Greivis Vasquez, G 0.733 GRIZZLIES
Mike Conley, PG 0.729 GRIZZLIES
Eric Maynor, PG 0.714 THUNDER
Marc Gasol, C 0.689 GRIZZLIES
O.J. Mayo, SG 0.544 GRIZZLIES
Shane Battier, SF 0.525 GRIZZLIES
Kendrick Perkins, C 0.471 THUNDER
Sam Young, SG 0.379 GRIZZLIES
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 0.367 THUNDER
Darrell Arthur, PF 0.360 GRIZZLIES
Serge Ibaka, PF 0.273 THUNDER
Daequan Cook, SG -0.319 THUNDER
SCALE FOR REGULAR SEASON REAL PLAYER RATINGS FOR A SINGLE GAME
Perfect Player for all Practical Purposes / Major Historic Super Star 1.200 and more
Historic Super Star 1.080 1.199
Super Star 0.960 1.079
A Star Player / A well above normal starter 0.860 0.959
Very Good Player / A solid starter 0.780 0.859
Major Role Player / Good enough to start 0.700 0.779
Good Role Player / Often a good 6th man, can possibly start 0.620 0.699
Satisfactory Role Player / Generally should not start 0.540 0.619
Marginal Role Player / Should not start except in an emergency 0.460 0.539
Poor Player / Should never start 0.380 0.459
Very Poor Player 0.300 0.379
Extremely Poor Player 0.299 and less
AVERAGE RATINGS BY POSITION
Not all positions are created equal. In pro basketball, point guard and center are the most important positions, power forward is in the middle, and small forward and shooting guard are the least important. (Some teams will have a different pattern.) The following are good estimates for average ratings by position among all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more. There are very few small forwards and shooting guards who don't fit at other positions who are superstars. Most superstars are players who can play point guard, power forward, or center.
Point Guard .750
Shooting Guard .635
Small Forward .645
Power Forward .715
Center .755
All Positions / All Players (NBA Overall Average) .700
To quickly and fairly compare two players who play different positions, convert their Ratings as follows:
Point Guards: Subtract .050; for example, .700 becomes .650
Shooting Guards: Add .065; for example, .700 becomes .765
Small Forwards: Add .055; for example, .700 becomes .755
Power Forwards: Subtract .015; for example, .700 becomes .685
Centers: Subtract .055; for example, .700 becomes .645
REAL PLAYER PRODUCTION FOR THIS GAME
--Shows the real basketball production (or quantity) of players.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--An estimate of the value of hidden defending production is included in the total production for all players shown; as described above hidden defending ratings from the regular season are used.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Kevin Durant, SF 58.25 THUNDER
Russell Westbrook, PG 43.17 THUNDER
Nick Collison, PF 41.84 THUNDER
James Harden, G 39.57 THUNDER
Zach Randolph, PF 33.57 GRIZZLIES
Mike Conley, PG 29.14 GRIZZLIES
Marc Gasol, C 25.50 GRIZZLIES
Tony Allen, SG 23.22 GRIZZLIES
O.J. Mayo, SG 17.42 GRIZZLIES
Shane Battier, SF 14.69 GRIZZLIES
Kendrick Perkins, C 14.59 THUNDER
Nazr Mohammed, C 12.55 THUNDER
Eric Maynor, PG 9.28 THUNDER
Darrell Arthur, PF 6.13 GRIZZLIES
Greivis Vasquez, G 5.87 GRIZZLIES
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 5.51 THUNDER
Serge Ibaka, PF 3.54 THUNDER
Sam Young, SG 3.03 GRIZZLIES
Daequan Cook, SG -6.29 THUNDER
=============== OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS FOR THIS GAME ===============
OFFENSIVE SUB RATINGS FOR THIS GAME
--Shows the real quality of players' offense.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--The hidden defending component is not a part of the offensive sub rating.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Kevin Durant, SF 1.034 THUNDER
Russell Westbrook, PG 0.980 THUNDER
Greivis Vasquez, G 0.676 GRIZZLIES
James Harden, G 0.535 THUNDER
Nick Collison, PF 0.512 THUNDER
Zach Randolph, PF 0.477 GRIZZLIES
Nazr Mohammed, C 0.463 THUNDER
Eric Maynor, PG 0.452 THUNDER
Mike Conley, PG 0.429 GRIZZLIES
O.J. Mayo, SG 0.325 GRIZZLIES
Sam Young, SG 0.260 GRIZZLIES
Marc Gasol, C 0.254 GRIZZLIES
Tony Allen, SG 0.191 GRIZZLIES
Shane Battier, SF 0.137 GRIZZLIES
Darrell Arthur, PF 0.125 GRIZZLIES
Kendrick Perkins, C 0.112 THUNDER
Serge Ibaka, PF 0.041 THUNDER
Thabo Sefolosha, SG -0.024 THUNDER
Daequan Cook, SG -0.572 THUNDER
THE AVERAGE OFFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is about .385
DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS FOR THIS GAME
--Shows the real quality of players' defense.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--The hidden defending component is included as described above.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Nick Collison, PF 0.756 THUNDER
James Harden, G 0.742 THUNDER
Tony Allen, SG 0.669 GRIZZLIES
Kevin Durant, SF 0.460 THUNDER
Marc Gasol, C 0.435 GRIZZLIES
Zach Randolph, PF 0.406 GRIZZLIES
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 0.391 THUNDER
Shane Battier, SF 0.388 GRIZZLIES
Nazr Mohammed, C 0.374 THUNDER
Kendrick Perkins, C 0.359 THUNDER
Mike Conley, PG 0.300 GRIZZLIES
Eric Maynor, PG 0.261 THUNDER
Russell Westbrook, PG 0.253 THUNDER
Daequan Cook, SG 0.253 THUNDER
Darrell Arthur, PF 0.235 GRIZZLIES
Serge Ibaka, PF 0.231 THUNDER
O.J. Mayo, SG 0.219 GRIZZLIES
Sam Young, SG 0.119 GRIZZLIES
Greivis Vasquez, G 0.057 GRIZZLIES
THE AVERAGE DEFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is about .315
The breakdown between hidden and unhidden defending is available on request.
THE ALL IMPORTANT, AWARD WINNING REAL PLAYER RATINGS USER GUIDE
For complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide. The User Guide for Real Player Ratings is a necessary reference for anyone who wants to truly understand the value of, the validity of, and the ways you can use the Real Player Rating performance measures.
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Of the several dozen types of Reports that Quest for the Ring (QFTR) produces, Team Real Player Rating Reports are among the most important. A Real Player Rating Report gives you four very important ratings for every player in the Report:
--Overall Real Player Rating
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During the regular season beginning in late January (when we can first validly calculate the hidden defending adjustments) QFTR posts Team Real Player Ratings for major contending teams and other selected teams as time permits. Between the end of the regular season and before the Conference Finals begin (in late April and in early May) QFTR posts the final ratings for approximately the ten best teams as of the beginning of the playoffs. If there is a major upset in round one and/or round two by a team whose ratings were not yet posted, QFTR will make sure to post those asap.
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This section was a limited and brief overview of Real Player Ratings Reports in general. What you need if you want to understand how the Ratings are constructed and why QFTR knows they are the best possible ratings is the User Guide for Real Player Ratings. This User Guide was last revised and updated in May 2010; a new revision is "on order" and is expected to be completed in May or June of 2011. The May 2010 edition is still very useful; the only section of it that is not completely accurate is the one where the specific factors are shown; the factors have been adjusted a little to reflect the latest information and understanding QFTR has about exactly how playoff games are won. There has also been a significant improvement in the calibration and validation of Real Player Ratings components.
So for complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide.