Denver Nuggets Final 2010-11 Real Player Ratings
DENVER NUGGETS FINAL REAL PLAYER RATINGS
2010-11 Season
Congratulations and respect are due to NENE HILARIO who lead the Nuggets in quality basketball in 2010-11.
Congratulations and respect are due to NENE HILARIO who produced more than any other player on the Nuggets in 2010-11.
KEY PLAYERS (above the NBA average)
MAJOR HISTORIC SUPER STARS
None
HISTORIC SUPER STARS
NENE HILARIO
RAYMOND FELTON
SUPER STARS
CHRIS ANDERSON
CARMELO ANTHONY
KENYON MARTIN
DANILO GALLINARI
CHAUNCEY BILLUPS
STARS--WELL ABOVE NORMAL STARTERS
Ty Lawson
Wilson Chandler
J.R. Smith
VERY GOOD PLAYERS--SOLID STARTERS
None
MAJOR ROLE PLAYERS--GOOD ENOUGH TO START
Arron Afflalo
TOTAL NUMBER OF ABOVE AVERAGE PLAYERS: 11
BEST BY SIDE OF COURT
BEST OFFENSIVE PLAYER
Chauncey Billups
BEST DEFENSIVE PLAYER
Chris Andersen
DENVER NUGGETS REAL PLAYER RATINGS
--Final 2010-11 Regular Season Ratings
--All players who have played 300 minutes or more are included
--Shows the real quality of players
--The hidden defending adjustment, which is necessary for a full evaluation of defense, is included for all players rated
Nene Hilario 1.036
Raymond Felton 1.004
Chris Andersen 0.975
Carmelo Anthony 0.965
Kenyon Martin 0.926
Danilo Gallinari 0.904
Chauncey Billups 0.903
Ty Lawson 0.851
Wilson Chandler 0.836
J.R. Smith 0.828
Arron Afflalo 0.711
Shelden Williams 0.680
Al Harrington 0.616
Gary Forbes 0.447
Melvin Ely 0.433
SCALE FOR REGULAR SEASON REAL PLAYER RATINGS
Perfect Player for all Practical Purposes / Major Historic Super Star 1.100 and more
Historic Super Star 1.000 1.099
Super Star 0.900 0.999
A Star Player / A well above normal starter 0.820 0.899
Very Good Player / A solid starter 0.760 0.819
Major Role Player / Good enough to start 0.700 0.759
Good Role Player / Often a good 6th man, can possibly start 0.640 0.699
Satisfactory Role Player / Generally should not start 0.580 0.639
Marginal Role Player / Should not start except in an emergency 0.520 0.579
Poor Player / Should never start 0.460 0.519
Very Poor Player 0.400 0.459
Extremely Poor Player and less 0.399
AVERAGE RATINGS BY POSITION
Not all positions are created equal. In pro basketball, point guard and center are the most important positions, power forward is in the middle, and small forward and shooting guard are the least important. (Some teams will have a different pattern.) The following are good estimates for average ratings by position among all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more. There are very few small forwards and shooting guards who don't fit at other positions who are superstars. Most superstars are players who can play point guard, power forward, or center.
Point Guard .750
Shooting Guard .635
Small Forward .645
Power Forward .715
Center .755
All Positions / All Players (NBA Overall Average) .700
To quickly and fairly compare two players who play different positions, convert their Ratings as follows:
Point Guards: Subtract .050; for example, .700 becomes .650
Shooting Guards: Add .065; for example, .700 becomes .765
Small Forwards: Add .055; for example, .700 becomes .755
Power Forwards: Subtract .015; for example, .700 becomes .685
Centers: Subtract .055; for example, .700 becomes .645
PLAYOFF GRADE PLAYERS
Playoff Grade Players have ratings of .560 and higher. Players with ratings below .560 should not play in the playoffs unless the team is forced to play them so that they have two players at a position and/or so that the team has at least eight players playing in the playoffs and/or because the coach is absolutely certain the low rating player will play better in the playoffs than he did in the regular season. Many primary contenders to win the Championship will have no player at all playing whose Rating is below .600.
DENVER NUGGETS REAL PLAYER PRODUCTION
--Final 2010-11 Regular Season Ratings
--All players who have played 300 minutes or more are included
--Shows the real basketball production of players
--An estimate of the value of hidden defending production is included in the total production for all players shown
Nene Hilario 2373.47
Ty Lawson 1789.47
Carmelo Anthony 1711.66
Arron Afflalo 1652.68
J.R. Smith 1628.58
Chauncey Billups 1485.67
Kenyon Martin 1141.48
Al Harrington 1025.15
Chris Andersen 714.01
Raymond Felton 665.53
Wilson Chandler 536.45
Shelden Williams 485.04
Danilo Gallinari 391.36
Gary Forbes 353.38
Melvin Ely 158.53
=============== OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS ===============
DENVER NUGGETS OFFENSIVE SUB RATINGS
--Final 2010-11 Regular Season Ratings
--All players who have played 300 minutes or more are included
--Shows the real quality of players' offense
Chauncey Billups 0.625
Ty Lawson 0.621
Carmelo Anthony 0.570
Raymond Felton 0.502
Nene Hilario 0.495
J.R. Smith 0.453
Arron Afflalo 0.435
Kenyon Martin 0.380
Al Harrington 0.366
Chris Andersen 0.351
Danilo Gallinari 0.346
Gary Forbes 0.314
Wilson Chandler 0.288
Shelden Williams 0.253
Melvin Ely 0.225
THE AVERAGE OFFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is about .385
DENVER NUGGETS DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS
--Final 2010-11 Regular Season Ratings
--All players who have played 300 minutes or more are included
--Shows the real quality of players' defending
--The hidden defending adjustment, which is necessary for a full evaluation of defense, is included for all players rated
Chris Andersen 0.624
Danilo Gallinari 0.558
Wilson Chandler 0.548
Kenyon Martin 0.546
Nene Hilario 0.541
Raymond Felton 0.502
Shelden Williams 0.427
Carmelo Anthony 0.395
J.R. Smith 0.375
Chauncey Billups 0.277
Arron Afflalo 0.276
Al Harrington 0.250
Ty Lawson 0.230
Melvin Ely 0.208
Gary Forbes 0.133
THE AVERAGE DEFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is about .315
The breakdown between hidden and unhidden defending is available on request.
THE ALL IMPORTANT, AWARD WINNING REAL PLAYER RATINGS USER GUIDE
For complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide. The User Guide for Real Player Ratings is a necessary reference for anyone who wants to truly understand the value of, the validity of, and the ways you can use the Real Player Rating performance measures.
Also, you should become a regular visitor to Quest for the Ring if you want to get the full advantage of reading and using Real Player Ratings Series performance measures. The more you visit and check out ratings, the more quickly and easily you will be able to evaluate what you are seeing.
ABOUT REAL PLAYER RATINGS REPORTS
Of the several dozen types of Reports that Quest for the Ring (QFTR) produces, Team Real Player Rating Reports are among the most important. A Real Player Rating Report gives you four very important ratings for every player in the Report:
--Overall Real Player Rating
--Real Player Production
--Offensive Sub Rating
--Defensive Sub Rating
These Reports are formatted reports. Formatted reports have a pre-set format and there is little or no commentary included. The whole idea of formatted reports is to provide a very large amount of important information very efficiently. The carefully planned and long evolved and perfected formatting eliminates the need for time-consuming custom text reporting in contexts where there is really no need for it. But to fully understand a formatted Report you need to be familiar with the User Guide for it.
There are two things you can do to get the full value out of RPR Reports. First, you can read parts or all of the User Guide for them (the link to the Guide is below). Second, you can simply visit a lot and see a lot of Reports and then you will automatically become better at interpreting what you see.
In contrast to formatted reports, QFTR breaks new ground in general and reveals its latest discoveries about basketball in particular in free form (non-formatted) text reports. While formatted posts are "on the reservation", non-formatted text reports are where QFTR "goes off the reservation". Both types of reports are essential; having just one type without the other type would reduce the value of QFTR by MORE than half.
QFTR is considering some kind of labelling system for posts that will allow visitors to even more easily than ever get to content they want or need.
During the regular season beginning in late January (when we can first validly calculate the hidden defending adjustments) QFTR posts Team Real Player Ratings for major contending teams and other selected teams as time permits. Between the end of the regular season and before the Conference Finals begin (in late April and in early May) QFTR posts the final ratings for approximately the ten best teams as of the beginning of the playoffs. If there is a major upset in round one and/or round two by a team whose ratings were not yet posted, QFTR will make sure to post those asap.
These final ratings can be used in team grids that are very important parts of any playoff series preview.
Unfortunately, production time limits that are caused partly by limited traffic mean that only a small number of playoff series previews can be produced. Remember, you can help QFTR get more production time by posting links to QFTR wherever you can, and then QFTR will link back to you on request (click the contact link under the banner).
Game Real Player Ratings Reports are produced for every NBA Championship game, every NBA Conference Final game, and for selected NBA semifinal games. For the semifinals, normally, the most interesting semifinal (round two) series will be selected (out of the four of them) and Real Player Ratings for every game in that series will be posted.
After the playoffs are completely over and the off-season arrives, QFTR has enough time to produce and publish a final annual Real Player Ratings Report for all thirty NBA teams. These annual records of who was really the best and who really did what are scheduled to be posted in late June and in early July. They are posted in alphabetic order by team starting with the Atlanta Hawks and ending with the Washington Wizards. The ones for the top teams that were posted in late April-early May are repeated so there is a complete set in alpha and chronological sequence.
If you ever spend quality time at QFTR you will discover that there are other types of Real Player Rating Reports. Many of these appear in the summer. Among the most important ones that come out in the summer are the League-Wide Real Player Ratings Reports. Also, don't miss the Real Player Ratings Reports by position if you are a serious basketball person.
This section was a limited and brief overview of Real Player Ratings Reports in general. What you need if you want to understand how the Ratings are constructed and why QFTR knows they are the best possible ratings is the User Guide for Real Player Ratings. This User Guide was last revised and updated in May 2010; a new revision is "on order" and is expected to be completed in July of 2011. The May 2010 edition is still very useful; the only section of it that is not completely accurate is the one where the specific factors are shown; the factors have been adjusted a little to reflect the latest information and understanding QFTR has about exactly how playoff games are won. There has also been a significant improvement in the calibration and validation of Real Player Ratings components.
So for complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide.