Real Player Ratings for the 2011 West Conference Final Game Four: Dallas Mavericks 112 Oklahoma Thunder 105, Overtime
2011 WEST CONFERENCE FINAL OKLAHOMA THUNDER VS DALLAS MAVERICKS GAME FOUR REAL PLAYER RATINGS
MAY 23 2011
OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA
DALLAS MAVERICKS 112 OKLAHOMA THUNDER 105, OVERTIME
DALLAS LEADS BEST OF SEVEN SERIES 3-1
KEY PLAYERS WHO DID NOT PLAY
--These are the above average players who would have or should have played but did not.
--The reason is shown after the player if and only if it is known with at least 85% certainty.
--Usually the reason is known with almost 100% certainty.
--If the reason is not known with at least 85% certainty, the reason "unknown" is given.
--Injuries are NEVER perfectly reported and information about them is archived nowhere on the Internet. Therefore, it is possible that when Quest for the Ring identifies "coaching error" or "unknown" as the reason, the real reason may have been an injury.
--If the reason "traded" is shown then in many cases a player who was obtained in that trade played instead.
THUNDER
Nazr Muhammed >>> Did not play due to apparent coaching error.
Daequan Cook >>> Played only 6 minutes due to apparent coaching error.
MAVERICKS
Caron Butler >>> Did not play due to injury.
REAL PLAYER RATINGS FOR THIS GAME
--Real Player Rating shows you the real basketball quality of players quickly and accurately.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--Each player's hidden defending rating from the regular season is used as the Hidden Defending Adjustment (HDA). Obviously, players in any individual game including this one were not exactly as good defenders as they were on the average during the regular season. But since there is no way to provide HDA for individual games and since it is better to have some reasonable HDA than none at all, we use the season HDA as a reasonable substitute.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Dirk Nowitzki, PF 1.207 MAVERICKS
Nick Collison, PF 1.157 THUNDER
Jason Kidd, PG 1.112 MAVERICKS
Eric Maynor, PG 1.048 THUNDER
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 0.940 THUNDER
Brendan Haywood, C 0.796 MAVERICKS
Serge Ibaka, PF 0.736 THUNDER
Kevin Durant, SF 0.722 THUNDER
Kendrick Perkins, C 0.695 THUNDER
Jose Juan Barea, PG 0.685 MAVERICKS
Jason Terry, SG 0.666 MAVERICKS
Tyson Chandler, C 0.643 MAVERICKS
Shawn Marion, SF 0.573 MAVERICKS
Russell Westbrook, PG 0.551 THUNDER
James Harden, SG 0.483 THUNDER
Peja Stojakovic, SF 0.062 MAVERICKS
DeShawn Stevenson, SG -0.191 MAVERICKS
SCALE FOR REGULAR SEASON REAL PLAYER RATINGS FOR A SINGLE GAME
Perfect Player for all Practical Purposes / Major Historic Super Star 1.200 and more
Historic Super Star 1.080 1.199
Super Star 0.960 1.079
A Star Player / A well above normal starter 0.860 0.959
Very Good Player / A solid starter 0.780 0.859
Major Role Player / Good enough to start 0.700 0.779
Good Role Player / Often a good 6th man, can possibly start 0.620 0.699
Satisfactory Role Player / Generally should not start 0.540 0.619
Marginal Role Player / Should not start except in an emergency 0.460 0.539
Poor Player / Should never start 0.380 0.459
Very Poor Player 0.300 0.379
Extremely Poor Player 0.299 and less
AVERAGE RATINGS BY POSITION
Not all positions are created equal. In pro basketball, point guard and center are the most important positions, power forward is in the middle, and small forward and shooting guard are the least important. (Some teams will have a different pattern.) The following are good estimates for average ratings by position among all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more. There are very few small forwards and shooting guards who don't fit at other positions who are superstars. Most superstars are players who can play point guard, power forward, or center.
Point Guard .750
Shooting Guard .635
Small Forward .645
Power Forward .715
Center .755
All Positions / All Players (NBA Overall Average) .700
To quickly and fairly compare two players who play different positions, convert their Ratings as follows:
Point Guards: Subtract .050; for example, .700 becomes .650
Shooting Guards: Add .065; for example, .700 becomes .765
Small Forwards: Add .055; for example, .700 becomes .755
Power Forwards: Subtract .015; for example, .700 becomes .685
Centers: Subtract .055; for example, .700 becomes .645
REAL PLAYER PRODUCTION FOR THIS GAME
--Shows the real basketball production (or quantity) of players.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--An estimate of the value of hidden defending production is included in the total production for all players shown; as described above hidden defending ratings from the regular season are used.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Dirk Nowitzki, PF 54.32 MAVERICKS
Jason Kidd, PG 45.59 MAVERICKS
Nick Collison, PF 35.87 THUNDER
Kevin Durant, SF 35.40 THUNDER
Serge Ibaka, PF 34.61 THUNDER
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 28.19 THUNDER
Jason Terry, SG 27.98 MAVERICKS
Russell Westbrook, PG 23.16 THUNDER
Tyson Chandler, C 22.50 MAVERICKS
Shawn Marion, SF 21.79 MAVERICKS
Kendrick Perkins, C 17.37 THUNDER
Brendan Haywood, C 14.33 MAVERICKS
Eric Maynor, PG 11.53 THUNDER
James Harden, SG 11.11 THUNDER
Jose Juan Barea, PG 10.96 MAVERICKS
Peja Stojakovic, SF 1.05 MAVERICKS
DeShawn Stevenson, SG -2.48 MAVERICKS
=============== OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS FOR THIS GAME ===============
OFFENSIVE SUB RATINGS FOR THIS GAME
--Shows the real quality of players' offense.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--The hidden defending component is not a part of the offensive sub rating.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Dirk Nowitzki, PF 0.887 MAVERICKS
Nick Collison, PF 0.823 THUNDER
Jason Kidd, PG 0.635 MAVERICKS
Brendan Haywood, C 0.594 MAVERICKS
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 0.506 THUNDER
Eric Maynor, PG 0.488 THUNDER
Kendrick Perkins, C 0.326 THUNDER
Kevin Durant, SF 0.297 THUNDER
Serge Ibaka, PF 0.293 THUNDER
Jason Terry, SG 0.245 MAVERICKS
Jose Juan Barea, PG 0.236 MAVERICKS
Russell Westbrook, PG 0.218 THUNDER
Tyson Chandler, C 0.202 MAVERICKS
Shawn Marion, SF 0.126 MAVERICKS
James Harden, SG 0.007 THUNDER
Peja Stojakovic, SF -0.025 MAVERICKS
DeShawn Stevenson, SG -0.184 MAVERICKS
THE AVERAGE OFFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is about .385
DEFENSIVE SUB RATINGS FOR THIS GAME
--Shows the real quality of players' defense.
--Players who played at least 7 minutes in the game are included.
--The hidden defending component is included as described above.
--Beginning in 2011 we show just the combined listing; in prior years we separately showed the rank lists by team but this is now considered to be unnecessary.
Eric Maynor, PG 0.559 THUNDER
Jason Kidd, PG 0.477 MAVERICKS
James Harden, SG 0.476 THUNDER
Jose Juan Barea, PG 0.449 MAVERICKS
Shawn Marion, SF 0.447 MAVERICKS
Serge Ibaka, PF 0.443 THUNDER
Tyson Chandler, C 0.441 MAVERICKS
Thabo Sefolosha, SG 0.434 THUNDER
Kevin Durant, SF 0.425 THUNDER
Jason Terry, SG 0.421 MAVERICKS
Kendrick Perkins, C 0.369 THUNDER
Nick Collison, PF 0.334 THUNDER
Russell Westbrook, PG 0.334 THUNDER
Dirk Nowitzki, PF 0.320 MAVERICKS
Brendan Haywood, C 0.202 MAVERICKS
Peja Stojakovic, SF 0.087 MAVERICKS
DeShawn Stevenson, SG -0.007 MAVERICKS
THE AVERAGE DEFENSIVE SUB RATING
for all NBA players who play 300 minutes or more is about .315
The breakdown between hidden and unhidden defending is available on request.
THE ALL IMPORTANT, AWARD WINNING REAL PLAYER RATINGS USER GUIDE
For complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide. The User Guide for Real Player Ratings is a necessary reference for anyone who wants to truly understand the value of, the validity of, and the ways you can use the Real Player Rating performance measures.
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Of the several dozen types of Reports that Quest for the Ring (QFTR) produces, Team Real Player Rating Reports are among the most important. A Real Player Rating Report gives you four very important ratings for every player in the Report:
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During the regular season beginning in late January (when we can first validly calculate the hidden defending adjustments) QFTR posts Team Real Player Ratings for major contending teams and other selected teams as time permits. Between the end of the regular season and before the Conference Finals begin (in late April and in early May) QFTR posts the final ratings for approximately the ten best teams as of the beginning of the playoffs. If there is a major upset in round one and/or round two by a team whose ratings were not yet posted, QFTR will make sure to post those asap.
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Game Real Player Ratings Reports are produced for every NBA Championship game, every NBA Conference Final game, and for selected NBA semifinal games. For the semifinals, normally, the most interesting semifinal (round two) series will be selected (out of the four of them) and Real Player Ratings for every game in that series will be posted.
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If you ever spend quality time at QFTR you will discover that there are other types of Real Player Rating Reports. Many of these appear in the summer. Among the most important ones that come out in the summer are the League-Wide Real Player Ratings Reports. Also, don't miss the Real Player Ratings Reports by position if you are a serious basketball person.
This section was a limited and brief overview of Real Player Ratings Reports in general. What you need if you want to understand how the Ratings are constructed and why QFTR knows they are the best possible ratings is the User Guide for Real Player Ratings. This User Guide was last revised and updated in May 2010; a new revision is "on order" and is expected to be completed in May or June of 2011. The May 2010 edition is still very useful; the only section of it that is not completely accurate is the one where the specific factors are shown; the factors have been adjusted a little to reflect the latest information and understanding QFTR has about exactly how playoff games are won. There has also been a significant improvement in the calibration and validation of Real Player Ratings components.
So for complete details regarding how the Real Player Ratings are designed, how and why they work, and how exactly you can use them, see the User Guide.